Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 53.5%). Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Bozak 53.4% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 30-22 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 62.8%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 76.7%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 58.1%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
MacKenzie
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
30
(52 meetings)
22
30
MacKenzie
Bozak
Last 10: MacKenzie 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
16
MacKenzie
Bozak
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
12
7
MacKenzie
Bozak
19 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
MacKenzie
Bozak
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
53.7% (9,596)
+1.2%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
55.2% (1,990)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
48.0% (1,094)
-1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
MacKenzie shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Bozak
Home
54.0% (2,527)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
MacKenzie
Bozak
P1
51.9%
53.2%
P2
53.0%
52.8%
P3
54.0%
54.5%
OT
65.7%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.9%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2018 | 2 | 12:52 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2018 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 09:15 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 28, 2016 | OT | 04:40 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |