Derek MacKenzie vs Tyler Graovac
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Graovac on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Graovac shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Graovac 47.1% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Graovac 66.5%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 78.7%
Neutral zone
Graovac 50.2%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
MacKenzie
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
MacKenzie
Graovac
Last 8: MacKenzie 4-4 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Graovac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Graovac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Graovac
1
3
MacKenzie
Graovac
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
46.5% (497)
+8.4%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
50.0% (4)
+5.9%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Graovac is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Graovac
Home
54.0% (2,527)
47.6% (233)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
45.5% (268)
By Period
MacKenzie
Graovac
P1
51.9%
41.7%
P2
53.0%
47.4%
P3
54.0%
51.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 02:12 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 09:46 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |