Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Rask 50.1% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 69.7%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 83.4%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 57.8%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
MacKenzie
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
MacKenzie
Rask
Last 10: MacKenzie 7-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
3
MacKenzie
Rask
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Rask
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
5
3
MacKenzie
Rask
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
50.0% (4,428)
+4.9%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
54.3% (363)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
35.2% (54)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Rask
Home
54.0% (2,527)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
MacKenzie
Rask
P1
51.9%
50.7%
P2
53.0%
48.9%
P3
54.0%
50.7%
OT
65.7%
52.1%
Final 5 min
52.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 09:35 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 11:51 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 04:59 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 18:27 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Victor Rask |