Derek MacKenzie vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Karlsson 51.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 63.8%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 55.8%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 50.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
MacKenzie
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
MacKenzie
Karlsson
Last 10: MacKenzie 1-9 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
6
MacKenzie
Karlsson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
1
MacKenzie
Karlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
MacKenzie
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
51.8% (7,849)
+3.1%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
54.8% (1,048)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
44.2% (1,109)
+2.5%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Karlsson
Home
54.0% (2,527)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
MacKenzie
Karlsson
P1
51.9%
50.3%
P2
53.0%
51.3%
P3
54.0%
52.4%
OT
65.7%
44.9%
Final 5 min
52.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2018 | 2 | 02:18 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 1 | 15:55 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 17:41 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 1 | 07:15 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 12:49 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 09:49 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 09:51 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 01:05 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |