Derek MacKenzie vs William Karlsson
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 50.0% vs Karlsson 45.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 64.5%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 63.2%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 64.0%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
MacKenzie
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
MacKenzie
Karlsson
Last 5: MacKenzie 1-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
MacKenzie
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
MacKenzie
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (564)
47.2% (786)
+5.3%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
54.5% (11)
+23.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
35.6% (163)
+6.1%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (467).
MacKenzie shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Karlsson
Home
52.7% (404)
46.4% (478)
Away
47.0% (368)
44.2% (482)
By Period
MacKenzie
Karlsson
P1
50.0%
44.8%
P2
50.0%
45.6%
P3
49.4%
45.5%
Final 5 min
55.0%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 17:41 | Neutral | William Karlsson |