Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Smith 50.6% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 63.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 50.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.2%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
MacKenzie
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
MacKenzie
Smith
Last 10: MacKenzie 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
5
MacKenzie
Smith
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
2
MacKenzie
Smith
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
MacKenzie
Smith
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
51.6% (5,265)
+3.3%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
51.2% (342)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
45.3% (985)
+1.4%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Smith
Home
54.0% (2,527)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
MacKenzie
Smith
P1
51.9%
49.9%
P2
53.0%
50.0%
P3
54.0%
51.9%
OT
65.7%
51.6%
Final 5 min
52.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 07:19 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 18:19 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 19:32 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 1 | 19:40 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |