Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Roy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.2% vs Roy 47.0% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 73.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 77.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 79.7%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 76.6%
23.4%
76.6%
Vermette
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Vermette
Roy
Last 8: Vermette 2-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Vermette
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Vermette
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Vermette
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,107)
43.9% (380)
+11.7%
Power Play
55.4% (278)
52.8% (106)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (139)
55.3% (38)
+0.1%
On even strength, Vermette has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Vermette is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,058).
Vermette shoots left. Roy is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Vermette
Roy
Home
55.8% (749)
51.6% (283)
Away
55.4% (791)
40.4% (245)
By Period
Vermette
Roy
P1
54.9%
47.8%
P2
59.2%
41.1%
P3
52.5%
49.7%
OT
55.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
53.5%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.6%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2010 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 3 | 00:09 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 2 | 17:33 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |