Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 46.5% vs Roy 47.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 66.2%
Defensive zone
Lander 81.3%
Neutral zone
Lander 59.9%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Lander
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lander
Roy
Last 5: Lander 1-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lander
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
Lander
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (127)
43.0% (351)
+3.5%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
61.3% (106)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
33.3% (9)
-2.9%
On power play, Roy has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Lander is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Lander shoots left. Roy is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Lander
Roy
Home
44.4% (99)
52.3% (241)
Away
44.3% (61)
41.3% (225)
By Period
Lander
Roy
P1
43.4%
51.6%
P2
46.0%
46.4%
P3
44.6%
43.1%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.2%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
44.4%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 13:25 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 05:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 08:34 | Neutral | Derek Roy |