Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 52.4% vs Roy 45.3% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 70.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 75.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 78.4%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 74.9%
25.1%
74.9%
Kopitar
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Kopitar
Roy
Last 9: Kopitar 2-7 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
Kopitar
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Kopitar
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Kopitar
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,066)
44.8% (784)
+7.1%
Power Play
58.9% (192)
45.0% (111)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (172)
42.9% (14)
+7.1%
On power play, Kopitar has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Kopitar is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Kopitar shoots left. Roy is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Roy
Home
53.6% (722)
45.8% (421)
Away
51.6% (708)
43.9% (488)
By Period
Kopitar
Roy
P1
52.5%
44.9%
P2
51.1%
43.6%
P3
54.1%
46.4%
OT
53.1%
35.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 16:13 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 11:29 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |