Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zubrus on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zubrus wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Roy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zubrus 44.5% vs Roy 50.5% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Zubrus leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 73.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 75.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 73.4%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Zubrus
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Zubrus
Roy
Last 10: Zubrus 6-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zubrus
2
1
Zubrus
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zubrus
3
2
Zubrus
Roy
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zubrus
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zubrus
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (317)
50.3% (1,010)
-8.3%
Power Play
56.4% (55)
53.3% (169)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (56)
51.1% (133)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Zubrus is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Zubrus shoots left. Roy is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Zubrus
Roy
Home
43.9% (237)
52.4% (683)
Away
42.6% (204)
48.6% (646)
By Period
Zubrus
Roy
P1
49.6%
48.3%
P2
42.7%
49.5%
P3
38.1%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
36.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zubrus
50.0%▲
46.0%
43.3%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 11:49 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Jan 24, 2012 | OT | 04:15 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 11:05 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |