Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 49.2% vs Roy 47.5% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 71.7%
Defensive zone
Helm 77.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.6%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Helm
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Helm
Roy
Last 5: Helm 1-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Helm
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Helm
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (438)
43.0% (351)
+5.4%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
61.3% (106)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (80)
33.3% (9)
+15.5%
On penalty kill, Helm has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Helm is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Helm shoots left. Roy is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Helm
Roy
Home
47.1% (276)
52.3% (241)
Away
51.1% (272)
41.3% (225)
By Period
Helm
Roy
P1
47.9%
51.6%
P2
52.7%
46.4%
P3
46.2%
43.1%
OT
53.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.1%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2014 | 3 | 12:43 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 02:39 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Darren Helm |