Scouting Report
David Steckel holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Steckel wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Roy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steckel 58.9% vs Roy 47.4% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Steckel leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 63.0%
Defensive zone
Steckel 87.8%
Neutral zone
Steckel 70.5%
Result
David Steckel favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Steckel
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Steckel
Roy
Last 10: Steckel 5-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
6
Steckel
Roy
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steckel
4
1
Steckel
Roy
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steckel
4
2
Steckel
Roy
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steckel
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (1,674)
46.4% (3,031)
+12.2%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
53.6% (560)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
60.2% (543)
46.8% (267)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Steckel has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Steckel is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,470).
Steckel shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Home / Away
Steckel
Roy
Home
63.4% (1,163)
49.5% (1,982)
Away
55.1% (1,154)
45.1% (1,897)
By Period
Steckel
Roy
P1
57.8%
47.6%
P2
61.8%
46.2%
P3
57.9%
48.5%
OT
68.0%
43.1%
Final 5 min
61.6%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
59.3%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | David Steckel |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 14:22 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | David Steckel |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | David Steckel |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Nov 13, 2010 | OT | 00:30 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | David Steckel |