Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Moore shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Moore 54.4% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Moore leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 81.3%
Defensive zone
Moore 70.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.1%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Roy
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Roy
Moore
Last 10: Roy 4-6 Moore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
6
3
Roy
Moore
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
0
1
Roy
Moore
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
1
4
Roy
Moore
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
55.8% (4,121)
-9.4%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
55.9% (136)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
48.7% (982)
-1.9%
On even strength, Moore has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Moore is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,364).
Home / Away
Roy
Moore
Home
49.5% (1,982)
55.3% (2,409)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
53.8% (2,843)
By Period
Roy
Moore
P1
47.6%
53.7%
P2
46.2%
54.2%
P3
48.5%
55.3%
OT
43.1%
69.4%
Final 5 min
47.0%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2013 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 3 | 10:19 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 17:11 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 04:42 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 04:05 | Neutral | Derek Roy |