Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Moore shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.0% vs Moore 52.9% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 64.4%
Defensive zone
Moore 80.4%
Neutral zone
Moore 75.0%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Roy
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Roy
Moore
Last 5: Roy 3-2 Moore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Moore
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
0
1
Roy
Moore
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Moore
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (380)
55.0% (676)
-11.1%
Power Play
52.8% (106)
49.1% (53)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
47.1% (155)
+8.2%
On even strength, Moore has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. Roy is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Roy shoots left. Moore is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Roy
Moore
Home
51.6% (283)
54.3% (420)
Away
40.4% (245)
52.3% (472)
By Period
Roy
Moore
P1
47.8%
56.1%
P2
41.1%
48.9%
P3
49.7%
53.8%
OT
41.7%
64.3%
Final 5 min
42.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 04:05 | Neutral | Derek Roy |