Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Malkin 45.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 66.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 58.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 52.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Roy
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
17
(32 meetings)
15
17
Roy
Malkin
Last 10: Roy 5-5 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
5
6
Roy
Malkin
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
4
Roy
Malkin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Roy
Malkin
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
45.6% (10,073)
+0.8%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
50.9% (643)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
32.2% (59)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,254).
Home / Away
Roy
Malkin
Home
49.5% (1,982)
47.6% (5,385)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
44.0% (5,413)
By Period
Roy
Malkin
P1
47.6%
45.9%
P2
46.2%
46.2%
P3
48.5%
45.2%
OT
43.1%
49.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 15:11 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 00:10 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 1 | 10:44 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |