Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 50.5% vs Malkin 47.7% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 84.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 56.7%
Neutral zone
Malkin 61.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Roy
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Roy
Malkin
Last 10: Roy 4-6 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
5
Roy
Malkin
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Malkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
3
Roy
Malkin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,010)
46.4% (922)
+3.9%
Power Play
53.3% (169)
52.7% (262)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
22.2% (9)
+28.9%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Roy is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Roy shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Home / Away
Roy
Malkin
Home
52.4% (683)
52.4% (601)
Away
48.6% (646)
42.7% (609)
By Period
Roy
Malkin
P1
48.3%
48.8%
P2
49.5%
50.6%
P3
53.9%
41.6%
OT
48.4%
65.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 14:26 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 14:18 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 00:09 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |