Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Nielsen 48.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 19-14 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 71.7%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 59.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.1%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Roy
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
19
(33 meetings)
14
19
Roy
Nielsen
Last 10: Roy 6-4 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
8
8
Roy
Nielsen
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
6
Roy
Nielsen
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
4
5
Roy
Nielsen
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
49.3% (7,608)
-2.9%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
54.7% (594)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
41.7% (1,420)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Home / Away
Roy
Nielsen
Home
49.5% (1,982)
49.9% (4,766)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
47.1% (4,890)
By Period
Roy
Nielsen
P1
47.6%
49.7%
P2
46.2%
47.6%
P3
48.5%
48.2%
OT
43.1%
46.6%
Final 5 min
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 13:04 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 09:05 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 4, 2012 | OT | 00:11 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 4, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |