Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.1%). Look for Sedin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 50.5% vs Sedin 50.1% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sedin 87.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 78.4%
Neutral zone
Sedin 56.7%
Result
Henrik Sedin favored at 74.9%
25.1%
74.9%
Roy
Sedin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Roy
Sedin
Last 5: Roy 1-4 Sedin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
0
3
Roy
Sedin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Sedin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Sedin
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,010)
49.0% (1,063)
+1.3%
Power Play
53.3% (169)
58.1% (210)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
31.3% (16)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sedin shoots left. Roy is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Roy shoots left. Sedin is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (896).
Home / Away
Roy
Sedin
Home
52.4% (683)
52.0% (646)
Away
48.6% (646)
48.2% (656)
By Period
Roy
Sedin
P1
48.3%
48.0%
P2
49.5%
50.0%
P3
53.9%
51.1%
OT
48.4%
63.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2012 | 3 | 17:14 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 1 | 00:55 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |