Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.8% vs 45.0%). Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Roy wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sedin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 45.3% vs Sedin 45.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 59.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 59.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 60.6%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Roy
Sedin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Roy
Sedin
Last 5: Roy 4-1 Sedin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
0
1
Roy
Sedin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
4
0
Roy
Sedin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Sedin
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (784)
45.3% (1,216)
-0.5%
Power Play
45.0% (111)
49.0% (257)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
29.3% (92)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sedin shoots left. Roy is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Roy shoots left. Sedin is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Home / Away
Roy
Sedin
Home
45.8% (421)
48.2% (782)
Away
43.9% (488)
41.8% (783)
By Period
Roy
Sedin
P1
44.9%
43.0%
P2
43.6%
46.4%
P3
46.4%
44.8%
OT
35.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
44.8%
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 05:56 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 02:15 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 3 | 12:39 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |