Scouting Report
Henrik Zetterberg holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zetterberg on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Roy wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zetterberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 46.2% vs Zetterberg 48.6% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Zetterberg leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Zetterberg 53.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 64.8%
Neutral zone
Zetterberg 51.5%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Roy
Zetterberg
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Roy
Zetterberg
Last 10: Roy 5-5 Zetterberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zetterberg
3
4
Roy
Zetterberg
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zetterberg
2
3
Roy
Zetterberg
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Zetterberg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Zetterberg
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (506)
48.0% (456)
-2.7%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
56.3% (32)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (73)
46.4% (56)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Zetterberg has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zetterberg shoots left. Roy is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Roy shoots left. Zetterberg is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Roy
Zetterberg
Home
44.9% (354)
52.3% (283)
Away
46.4% (293)
44.1% (261)
By Period
Roy
Zetterberg
P1
47.0%
48.1%
P2
47.2%
51.7%
P3
42.5%
44.7%
OT
50.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
41.4%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
45.6%
Zetterberg
58.0%▲
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 2 | 00:09 | Defensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 12:08 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 00:19 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |