Scouting Report
Henrik Zetterberg holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zetterberg on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Roy wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zetterberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 45.3% vs Zetterberg 50.8% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Zetterberg leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 74.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 72.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 72.1%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Roy
Zetterberg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Roy
Zetterberg
Last 10: Roy 2-8 Zetterberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zetterberg
0
2
Roy
Zetterberg
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
2
Roy
Zetterberg
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zetterberg
0
5
Roy
Zetterberg
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Zetterberg
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (784)
50.6% (849)
-5.8%
Power Play
45.0% (111)
49.7% (197)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
72.2% (18)
-29.3%
On penalty kill, Zetterberg has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zetterberg shoots left. Roy is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Roy shoots left. Zetterberg is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (613).
Home / Away
Roy
Zetterberg
Home
45.8% (421)
51.4% (589)
Away
43.9% (488)
50.1% (475)
By Period
Roy
Zetterberg
P1
44.9%
51.6%
P2
43.6%
49.6%
P3
46.4%
51.1%
OT
35.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
49.1%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
44.8%
Zetterberg
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 18:10 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 18:05 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 12:58 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 09:22 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Derek Roy |