Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rose shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Rose 44.3% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 50.0%
Defensive zone
Rose 80.2%
Neutral zone
Rose 69.4%
Result
Jacob de la Rose favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Roy
Rose
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Roy
Rose
Last 5: Roy 1-4 Rose
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rose
0
1
Roy
Rose
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rose
0
2
Roy
Rose
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Rose
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Rose
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
44.0% (1,358)
+2.4%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
47.6% (21)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
43.2% (139)
+3.6%
On power play, Roy has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rose shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Rose is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (963).
Home / Away
Roy
Rose
Home
49.5% (1,982)
46.0% (781)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
41.8% (737)
By Period
Roy
Rose
P1
47.6%
45.9%
P2
46.2%
43.5%
P3
48.5%
42.1%
OT
43.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |