Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Rose shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 45.3% vs Rose 43.8% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rose 57.9%
Defensive zone
Rose 75.0%
Neutral zone
Rose 65.7%
Result
Jacob de la Rose favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Roy
Rose
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Roy
Rose
Last 5: Roy 1-4 Rose
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rose
0
1
Roy
Rose
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rose
0
2
Roy
Rose
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Rose
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Rose
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (784)
39.3% (140)
+5.5%
Power Play
45.0% (111)
50.0% (2)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
44.4% (18)
-1.5%
On even strength, Roy has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rose shoots left. Roy is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Roy shoots left. Rose is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Roy
Rose
Home
45.8% (421)
47.2% (72)
Away
43.9% (488)
34.1% (88)
By Period
Roy
Rose
P1
44.9%
40.4%
P2
43.6%
35.6%
P3
46.4%
46.5%
OT
35.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
44.8%
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |