Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Benn 52.9% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 72.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 72.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 73.0%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Roy
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Roy
Benn
Last 10: Roy 3-7 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Roy
Benn
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
3
Roy
Benn
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
4
Roy
Benn
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
53.5% (6,450)
-7.1%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
52.5% (2,054)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
49.3% (515)
-2.5%
On even strength, Benn has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Home / Away
Roy
Benn
Home
49.5% (1,982)
54.9% (4,547)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
51.0% (4,488)
By Period
Roy
Benn
P1
47.6%
51.9%
P2
46.2%
52.6%
P3
48.5%
54.0%
OT
43.1%
62.4%
Final 5 min
47.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2015 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 02:58 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |