Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Spezza 54.7% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 35-33 in 68 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 64.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 59.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 59.2%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Roy
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
35
(68 meetings)
33
35
Roy
Spezza
Last 10: Roy 5-5 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
12
Roy
Spezza
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
14
7
Roy
Spezza
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
12
16
Roy
Spezza
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
54.4% (7,990)
-8.0%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
56.8% (1,726)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
52.7% (643)
-5.9%
On even strength, Spezza has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Roy shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Roy
Spezza
Home
49.5% (1,982)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Roy
Spezza
P1
47.6%
55.7%
P2
46.2%
54.4%
P3
48.5%
54.1%
OT
43.1%
51.5%
Final 5 min
47.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2015 | 3 | 13:32 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 2 | 02:01 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 1 | 01:05 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 15:41 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 06:57 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 05:10 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 05:03 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2013 | OT | 00:45 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2013 | 3 | 05:54 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2013 | 3 | 01:10 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Dec 16, 2013 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |