Scouting Report
Joe Colborne holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Colborne on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Colborne shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.5% vs Colborne 48.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 66.6%
Defensive zone
Colborne 75.6%
Neutral zone
Colborne 58.2%
Result
Joe Colborne favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Roy
Colborne
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Roy
Colborne
Last 5: Roy 0-5 Colborne
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
0
3
Roy
Colborne
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colborne
0
2
Roy
Colborne
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Colborne
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (351)
48.6% (381)
-5.6%
Power Play
61.3% (106)
51.0% (51)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
33.3% (9)
+0.0%
On power play, Roy has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colborne shoots left. Roy is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (306).
Roy shoots left. Colborne is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Roy
Colborne
Home
52.3% (241)
53.9% (243)
Away
41.3% (225)
41.9% (198)
By Period
Roy
Colborne
P1
51.6%
48.3%
P2
46.4%
50.4%
P3
43.1%
47.3%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.0%
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 16:23 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 12:06 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 02:11 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |