Scouting Report
Joe Colborne holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Colborne shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 45.3% vs Colborne 51.8% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 51.9%
Defensive zone
Colborne 53.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.0%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Roy
Colborne
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Roy
Colborne
Last 5: Roy 2-3 Colborne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Colborne
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colborne
0
1
Roy
Colborne
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Colborne
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (784)
52.1% (284)
-7.3%
Power Play
45.0% (111)
53.8% (39)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
53.8% (13)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Colborne has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colborne shoots left. Roy is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Roy shoots left. Colborne is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Roy
Colborne
Home
45.8% (421)
60.7% (163)
Away
43.9% (488)
44.5% (173)
By Period
Roy
Colborne
P1
44.9%
59.3%
P2
43.6%
47.0%
P3
46.4%
52.4%
OT
35.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
44.8%
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2015 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Derek Roy |