Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Schroeder 46.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 52.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 61.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.9%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Roy
Schroeder
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Roy
Schroeder
Last 10: Roy 7-3 Schroeder
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Schroeder
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
0
Roy
Schroeder
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Roy
Schroeder
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Schroeder
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
46.6% (603)
-0.2%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
45.3% (64)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
25.0% (4)
+21.8%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schroeder shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Roy shoots left. Schroeder is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (457).
Home / Away
Roy
Schroeder
Home
49.5% (1,982)
43.0% (251)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
48.3% (420)
By Period
Roy
Schroeder
P1
47.6%
47.8%
P2
46.2%
44.9%
P3
48.5%
45.9%
OT
43.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Schroeder
58.0%▲
50.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2014 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 1 | 13:31 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 1 | 08:34 | Neutral | Jordan Schroeder |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Jordan Schroeder |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 2 | 04:14 | Neutral | Jordan Schroeder |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Jordan Schroeder |