Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 47.8%). Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Jooris 48.0% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 78.6%
Defensive zone
Jooris 54.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 58.6%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Roy
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Roy
Jooris
Last 5: Roy 4-1 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Jooris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
0
Roy
Jooris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
48.6% (1,221)
-2.2%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
61.0% (41)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
39.4% (175)
+7.4%
On power play, Jooris has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Roy shoots left. Jooris is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Home / Away
Roy
Jooris
Home
49.5% (1,982)
49.0% (786)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
46.4% (651)
By Period
Roy
Jooris
P1
47.6%
47.5%
P2
46.2%
44.3%
P3
48.5%
51.3%
OT
43.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 1 | 11:14 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |