Scouting Report
Josh Jooris holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Jooris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 45.3% vs Jooris 48.9% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 63.2%
Defensive zone
Jooris 64.3%
Neutral zone
Jooris 59.3%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Roy
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Roy
Jooris
Last 5: Roy 4-1 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Jooris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
0
Roy
Jooris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (784)
48.4% (488)
-3.6%
Power Play
45.0% (111)
56.3% (32)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
46.8% (47)
-3.9%
On power play, Jooris has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. Roy is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Roy shoots left. Jooris is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Roy
Jooris
Home
45.8% (421)
52.1% (330)
Away
43.9% (488)
43.9% (237)
By Period
Roy
Jooris
P1
44.9%
45.1%
P2
43.6%
48.1%
P3
46.4%
51.9%
OT
35.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
44.8%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 1 | 11:14 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |