Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 50.5% vs Eller 47.0% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 85.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 75.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 68.8%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Roy
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Roy
Eller
Last 7: Roy 5-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,010)
45.7% (588)
+4.6%
Power Play
53.3% (169)
61.1% (18)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
50.8% (63)
+0.3%
On power play, Eller has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Roy is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Roy shoots left. Eller is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Home / Away
Roy
Eller
Home
52.4% (683)
48.3% (329)
Away
48.6% (646)
44.9% (356)
By Period
Roy
Eller
P1
48.3%
50.0%
P2
49.5%
41.3%
P3
53.9%
47.4%
OT
48.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 04:16 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 00:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Derek Roy |