Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansson on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Johansson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Johansson 41.3% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Johansson leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansson 68.7%
Defensive zone
Johansson 70.9%
Neutral zone
Johansson 66.5%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Roy
Johansson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Roy
Johansson
Last 10: Roy 5-5 Johansson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Johansson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
2
7
Roy
Johansson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
4
3
Roy
Johansson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
41.0% (2,522)
+5.4%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
42.5% (351)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
36.3% (80)
+10.5%
On power play, Roy has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Johansson is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Roy
Johansson
Home
49.5% (1,982)
42.7% (1,459)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
39.5% (1,518)
By Period
Roy
Johansson
P1
47.6%
42.8%
P2
46.2%
40.4%
P3
48.5%
40.5%
OT
43.1%
28.3%
Final 5 min
47.0%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 18:23 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 3 | 08:56 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 19:36 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |