Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Roy wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Johansson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.0% vs Johansson 41.7% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansson 80.7%
Defensive zone
Johansson 72.3%
Neutral zone
Johansson 73.0%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 74.5%
25.5%
74.5%
Roy
Johansson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Roy
Johansson
Last 5: Roy 1-4 Johansson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
0
1
Roy
Johansson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansson
1
3
Roy
Johansson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (380)
40.3% (596)
+3.6%
Power Play
52.8% (106)
47.2% (36)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
42.9% (28)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Roy is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Roy shoots left. Johansson is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Roy
Johansson
Home
51.6% (283)
43.5% (313)
Away
40.4% (245)
37.9% (356)
By Period
Roy
Johansson
P1
47.8%
42.6%
P2
41.1%
42.9%
P3
49.7%
36.4%
OT
41.7%
22.2%
Final 5 min
42.4%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
40.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 19:36 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |