Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Kruger 50.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 79.6%
Defensive zone
Kruger 84.4%
Neutral zone
Kruger 64.5%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Roy
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
11
(26 meetings)
15
11
Roy
Kruger
Last 10: Roy 3-7 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
10
1
Roy
Kruger
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
2
4
Roy
Kruger
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
3
6
Roy
Kruger
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
52.4% (3,509)
-6.0%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
46.5% (99)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
42.9% (860)
+3.9%
On power play, Roy has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Kruger is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,762).
Home / Away
Roy
Kruger
Home
49.5% (1,982)
52.7% (2,242)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
48.3% (2,231)
By Period
Roy
Kruger
P1
47.6%
49.7%
P2
46.2%
49.7%
P3
48.5%
52.1%
OT
43.1%
53.2%
Final 5 min
47.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2015 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 01:52 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 18, 2014 | OT | 02:51 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 01:51 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 9, 2013 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 08:01 | Neutral | Derek Roy |