Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.6% vs 46.2%). Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Roy wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 46.2% vs Kruger 46.9% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 74.3%
Defensive zone
Kruger 51.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.8%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Roy
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Roy
Kruger
Last 7: Roy 7-0 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
5
0
Roy
Kruger
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Kruger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (506)
50.0% (334)
-4.7%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
40.0% (10)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (73)
38.3% (149)
-1.3%
On power play, Roy has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Roy is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Roy shoots left. Kruger is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Roy
Kruger
Home
44.9% (354)
51.8% (255)
Away
46.4% (293)
40.3% (238)
By Period
Roy
Kruger
P1
47.0%
50.3%
P2
47.2%
43.0%
P3
42.5%
44.7%
OT
50.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
41.4%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
45.6%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2013 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 08:01 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Derek Roy |