Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 50.5% vs Letestu 51.7% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 52.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 54.1%
Neutral zone
Letestu 51.9%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Roy
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Roy
Letestu
Last 5: Roy 5-0 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
0
Roy
Letestu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Letestu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,010)
52.8% (544)
-2.5%
Power Play
53.3% (169)
55.9% (111)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
35.6% (59)
+15.5%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Roy is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Roy shoots left. Letestu is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Roy
Letestu
Home
52.4% (683)
53.6% (317)
Away
48.6% (646)
50.6% (405)
By Period
Roy
Letestu
P1
48.3%
51.3%
P2
49.5%
55.4%
P3
53.9%
49.2%
OT
48.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 16:19 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Derek Roy |