Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Granlund 41.4% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 81.9%
Defensive zone
Granlund 74.2%
Neutral zone
Granlund 75.5%
Result
Markus Granlund favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Roy
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Roy
Granlund
Last 8: Roy 2-6 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
3
Roy
Granlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
3
Roy
Granlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
41.3% (1,525)
+5.1%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
45.1% (91)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
32.8% (119)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Granlund is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,096).
Home / Away
Roy
Granlund
Home
49.5% (1,982)
43.1% (886)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
38.6% (849)
By Period
Roy
Granlund
P1
47.6%
42.9%
P2
46.2%
39.1%
P3
48.5%
41.1%
OT
43.1%
26.7%
Final 5 min
47.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 10:47 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |