Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 45.3% vs Granlund 38.9% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 79.0%
Defensive zone
Granlund 76.5%
Neutral zone
Granlund 73.9%
Result
Markus Granlund favored at 75.5%
24.5%
75.5%
Roy
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Roy
Granlund
Last 8: Roy 2-6 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
3
Roy
Granlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
3
Roy
Granlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (784)
36.5% (477)
+8.3%
Power Play
45.0% (111)
50.0% (20)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
33.3% (27)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Roy is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Roy shoots left. Granlund is 35.2% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Roy
Granlund
Home
45.8% (421)
41.0% (256)
Away
43.9% (488)
32.8% (268)
By Period
Roy
Granlund
P1
44.9%
41.3%
P2
43.6%
35.9%
P3
46.4%
33.5%
OT
35.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
44.8%
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
36.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 10:47 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |