Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.6% vs 46.2%). Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Roy wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 46.2% vs Stajan 46.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 58.9%
Defensive zone
Stajan 59.5%
Neutral zone
Stajan 60.3%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Roy
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Roy
Stajan
Last 10: Roy 3-7 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Stajan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
6
Roy
Stajan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
4
Roy
Stajan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (506)
46.7% (615)
-1.4%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
52.9% (17)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (73)
43.5% (138)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Roy is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Roy shoots left. Stajan is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Roy
Stajan
Home
44.9% (354)
45.6% (379)
Away
46.4% (293)
46.8% (391)
By Period
Roy
Stajan
P1
47.0%
44.2%
P2
47.2%
46.9%
P3
42.5%
47.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
45.6%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 09:57 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 08:06 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |