Scouting Report
Maxim Lapierre holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Lapierre 51.3% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Lapierre leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 80.5%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 74.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.0%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Roy
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Roy
Lapierre
Last 10: Roy 5-5 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
7
0
Roy
Lapierre
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
3
Roy
Lapierre
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
6
Roy
Lapierre
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
52.9% (2,085)
-6.5%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
53.1% (32)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
43.1% (415)
+3.7%
On even strength, Lapierre has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Roy shoots left. Lapierre is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,731).
Home / Away
Roy
Lapierre
Home
49.5% (1,982)
53.0% (1,250)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
49.8% (1,289)
By Period
Roy
Lapierre
P1
47.6%
52.5%
P2
46.2%
50.7%
P3
48.5%
51.1%
OT
43.1%
41.7%
Final 5 min
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 16:48 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 1 | 10:20 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 07:15 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 03:59 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 01:53 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Derek Roy |