Scouting Report
Michael Cammalleri holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cammalleri on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Roy wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cammalleri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 46.2% vs Cammalleri 50.8% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Cammalleri leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 62.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 65.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 65.2%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Roy
Cammalleri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Roy
Cammalleri
Last 10: Roy 4-6 Cammalleri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cammalleri
1
5
Roy
Cammalleri
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Cammalleri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cammalleri
1
2
Roy
Cammalleri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Cammalleri
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (506)
52.0% (358)
-6.7%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
57.0% (86)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (73)
34.6% (52)
+2.4%
On even strength, Cammalleri has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cammalleri shoots left. Roy is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Roy shoots left. Cammalleri is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Roy
Cammalleri
Home
44.9% (354)
46.1% (256)
Away
46.4% (293)
56.3% (240)
By Period
Roy
Cammalleri
P1
47.0%
56.2%
P2
47.2%
51.2%
P3
42.5%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
45.6%
Cammalleri
52.0%▬
52.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Michael Cammalleri |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Michael Cammalleri |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 12:06 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Cammalleri |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Michael Cammalleri |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Cammalleri |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Michael Cammalleri |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Michael Cammalleri |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Michael Cammalleri |