Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Roy wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.5% vs Ribeiro 44.0% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 76.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 72.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 67.0%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Roy
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Roy
Ribeiro
Last 7: Roy 5-2 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Ribeiro
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
4
1
Roy
Ribeiro
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (351)
43.1% (821)
-0.1%
Power Play
61.3% (106)
48.1% (77)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
0.0% (5)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Roy is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (306).
Roy shoots left. Ribeiro is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Roy
Ribeiro
Home
52.3% (241)
45.2% (504)
Away
41.3% (225)
40.9% (399)
By Period
Roy
Ribeiro
P1
51.6%
42.7%
P2
46.4%
45.3%
P3
43.1%
43.0%
OT
33.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.0%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 01:18 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 01:04 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 04:56 | Defensive | Derek Roy |