Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Richards 50.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 64.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 59.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 63.1%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Roy
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Roy
Richards
Last 10: Roy 1-9 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
4
Roy
Richards
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
3
Roy
Richards
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
3
4
Roy
Richards
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
50.0% (3,722)
-3.6%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
54.6% (445)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
51.4% (502)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Home / Away
Roy
Richards
Home
49.5% (1,982)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Roy
Richards
P1
47.6%
49.6%
P2
46.2%
52.3%
P3
48.5%
49.3%
OT
43.1%
58.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 16:28 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 2 | 00:21 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 11:08 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 10:59 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Derek Roy |