Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Bonino 50.0% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 18-13 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 56.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 75.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 62.4%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Roy
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
13
(31 meetings)
18
13
Roy
Bonino
Last 10: Roy 8-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Roy
Bonino
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
9
4
Roy
Bonino
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Roy
Bonino
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
50.6% (8,315)
-4.2%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
54.1% (972)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
44.6% (1,693)
+2.2%
On even strength, Bonino has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Roy
Bonino
Home
49.5% (1,982)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Roy
Bonino
P1
47.6%
50.6%
P2
46.2%
48.5%
P3
48.5%
51.1%
OT
43.1%
45.7%
Final 5 min
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | OT | 00:50 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 07:47 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 10:45 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 09:06 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 15:33 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 11:10 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 02:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 01:18 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 16:42 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |