Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 46.2% vs Bonino 47.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 56.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 53.1%
Neutral zone
Bonino 51.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Roy
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Roy
Bonino
Last 9: Roy 3-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Roy
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (506)
48.4% (246)
-3.1%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
37.5% (32)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (73)
41.2% (17)
-4.2%
On power play, Roy has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Roy is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Roy shoots left. Bonino is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Roy
Bonino
Home
44.9% (354)
53.3% (122)
Away
46.4% (293)
42.2% (173)
By Period
Roy
Bonino
P1
47.0%
48.4%
P2
47.2%
44.3%
P3
42.5%
47.2%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
45.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 16:42 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 16:45 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 8, 2013 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 8, 2013 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |