Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Foligno 48.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 56.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 56.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.6%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Roy
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Roy
Foligno
Last 10: Roy 3-7 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
5
Roy
Foligno
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
48.3% (2,810)
-1.9%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
52.3% (730)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
44.0% (455)
+2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Roy
Foligno
Home
49.5% (1,982)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Roy
Foligno
P1
47.6%
47.6%
P2
46.2%
50.4%
P3
48.5%
48.3%
OT
43.1%
29.7%
Final 5 min
47.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2015 | OT | 04:21 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 3 | 09:05 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 3 | 08:02 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 3 | 03:26 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |