Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Antropov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Antropov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Antropov 45.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Antropov 75.7%
Defensive zone
Antropov 72.1%
Neutral zone
Antropov 73.0%
Result
Nik Antropov favored at 74.2%
25.8%
74.2%
Roy
Antropov
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Roy
Antropov
Last 6: Roy 0-6 Antropov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Antropov
0
3
Roy
Antropov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Antropov
0
1
Roy
Antropov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Antropov
0
2
Roy
Antropov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Antropov
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
45.7% (1,209)
+0.7%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
45.5% (191)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
39.0% (77)
+7.8%
On power play, Roy has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Antropov shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Antropov is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Roy
Antropov
Home
49.5% (1,982)
48.0% (704)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
42.4% (786)
By Period
Roy
Antropov
P1
47.6%
42.8%
P2
46.2%
47.0%
P3
48.5%
45.6%
OT
43.1%
38.5%
Final 5 min
47.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Antropov
42.0%▲
39.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 3 | 10:25 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |