Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Jokinen 46.4% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 56.8%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 58.9%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 58.5%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Roy
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Roy
Jokinen
Last 10: Roy 5-5 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
1
Roy
Jokinen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
4
2
Roy
Jokinen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
3
6
Roy
Jokinen
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
45.8% (3,924)
+0.6%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
50.8% (585)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
42.9% (247)
+3.9%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Home / Away
Roy
Jokinen
Home
49.5% (1,982)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Roy
Jokinen
P1
47.6%
45.6%
P2
46.2%
47.5%
P3
48.5%
45.4%
OT
43.1%
56.1%
Final 5 min
47.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2014 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 17:20 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 18, 2013 | 3 | 01:30 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 18, 2013 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 18, 2013 | 1 | 18:14 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 18, 2013 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 02:21 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 17:43 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 15:39 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 15:32 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |