Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 50.5% vs Jokinen 46.8% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 72.5%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 74.3%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 72.4%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 72.9%
27.1%
72.9%
Roy
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Roy
Jokinen
Last 10: Roy 3-7 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
1
Roy
Jokinen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Jokinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
5
Roy
Jokinen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,010)
46.8% (1,017)
+3.5%
Power Play
53.3% (169)
47.6% (185)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
40.7% (113)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Roy is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Roy shoots left. Jokinen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Roy
Jokinen
Home
52.4% (683)
47.1% (652)
Away
48.6% (646)
46.0% (681)
By Period
Roy
Jokinen
P1
48.3%
43.8%
P2
49.5%
49.5%
P3
53.9%
44.6%
OT
48.4%
68.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 02:21 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 17:43 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 15:39 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 15:32 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |