Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 46.2% vs Getzlaf 48.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 56.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 53.1%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 63.3%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Roy
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Roy
Getzlaf
Last 10: Roy 8-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
4
3
Roy
Getzlaf
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
2
Roy
Getzlaf
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Getzlaf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (506)
48.1% (607)
-2.8%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
52.2% (67)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (73)
43.1% (65)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Roy is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Roy shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Home / Away
Roy
Getzlaf
Home
44.9% (354)
51.2% (326)
Away
46.4% (293)
45.5% (413)
By Period
Roy
Getzlaf
P1
47.0%
50.2%
P2
47.2%
47.9%
P3
42.5%
47.0%
OT
50.0%
36.8%
Final 5 min
41.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
45.6%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 00:21 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 8, 2013 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 8, 2013 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 8, 2013 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 8, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 8, 2013 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 8, 2013 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 8, 2013 | 1 | 08:11 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |